Prediction Milan vs Lecce 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Coppa Italia on 23/09/2025

Match preview: Milan aiming to extend momentum at San Siro

Milan return to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza for a Coppa Italia second-round tie that looks, on paper and by form, heavily tilted in their favour. The Rossoneri arrive off a convincing 3-0 victory over Udinese less than 48 hours before this fixture and bring a recent run peppered with wins: victories over Bologna, Lecce and Bari 1908 underline a side that has rediscovered attacking fluency. The statistics speak loudly — Milan’s season so far shows an aggressive profile in chance creation with a remarkable average of 125 attacks and 85 dangerous attacks, numbers that dwarf Lecce’s corresponding metrics.

Lecce, who will travel back to face a Milan side that defeated them 2-0 in late August, have been more inconsistent. Their recent Serie A run includes a narrow 1-2 reverse to Cagliari and a heavy 1-4 loss away at Atalanta, interspersed with draws and an occasional win. Their attacking output is more modest according to the data: seven total shots on average and 44 dangerous attacks per game suggest they will often be forced to weather sustained pressure if Milan press high and control the tempo.

Tactical battle and key recent form

This clash promises to be one of control versus resilience. Milan’s corner average at 12 per game hints at sustained territorial dominance and set-piece opportunities that could unsettle Lecce. The home side’s shots inside the box and higher shots on target tally suggest they’re better at turning possession into clear scoring opportunities. Lecce’s defensive resolve will be tested, but their recent games show vulnerability against teams that force transitions and create multiple chances.

Form charts indicate Milan have the edge in momentum, while Lecce enter with a mixed sequence that includes more defeats than comfortable. The previous meeting this season is a telling reference point: Milan’s 2-0 victory in Serie A demonstrated their ability to control Lecce’s build-up and finish chances when presented.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Taking into account venue, recent results and the underlying attacking metrics, Milan are the clear favourites. Expect a proactive Milan performance at San Siro, where they can dominate possession, create the better chances and press Lecce into errors. Lecce may find a goal if Milan relax, but the weight of evidence points toward a Rossoneri victory.

Betting suggestion: Back Milan to win (1) in the 1X2 market. The combination of Milan’s superior attacking numbers, recent form including a 3-0 Serie A win and the earlier 2-0 head-to-head result make the home victory the most probable outcome for this Coppa Italia encounter.