Prediction Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Ekstraklasa on 29/09/2025

Match context and recent form

Arena Lublin will host an intriguing Ekstraklasa clash as Motor Lublin welcome Radomiak Radom on 29 September 2025. Both sides arrive with the sting of midweek cup exits still fresh — Motor bowed out after extra-time at Arka Gdynia on 25 September, and Radomiak suffered the same fate against Zagłębie Lubin earlier that day. That shared experience of a draining cup tie could be the defining narrative: who recovers better in three days' time?

Motor sit lower in the table in 11th after eight league games, having collected ten points from a sequence that shows resilience: draws have been frequent but the most recent run includes more stability, with four wins and four draws in the last ten-match span according to their form summary. At home they have been compact — the numbers show Motor have conceded just once at home and kept three clean sheets, a sign their Arena Lublin performances are defensively disciplined. Their season goal return is modest but competitive, and recent head-to-head memory is encouraging: Motor edged Radomiak away in May, a 3-2 triumph that proves they can hurt this opponent.

Radomiak are sitting in eighth after nine matches with eleven points. Their season has been more open: fifteen goals scored but sixteen conceded reflects a team that creates opportunities and leaves space at the back. Across the campaign Radomiak have generated more shots on target and a higher share of matches finishing over 2.5 goals, indicating their encounters are often lively and goal-rich. Yet their away numbers are less convincing and their form line includes more defeats; the latest ten-match snapshot lists five losses, suggesting inconsistency could catch up with them on the road.

Tactical expectation and key statistical angles

This promises to be a contest of contrasting shapes: Motor's home solidity against Radomiak's attacking inclination. The bookmakers marginally favour the hosts — Motor are priced at 2.26 with a probability projection of roughly 44%, while Radomiak are 3.00 and a draw offered at 3.40. The shooting metrics favour Radomiak in volume and accuracy, but Motor's home goals conceded tally and clean-sheet count point to a low-margin, tightly contested affair. Given both teams endured extra-time midweek, expect cautious opening periods as managers manage fitness and fresh legs.

Betting suggestion

Back Motor Lublin to win (1) at 2.26. The home side combine a recent positive vein of results and a demonstrable defensive edge at Arena Lublin, while Radomiak’s away inconsistencies and fatigue from their cup exit make Motor the more reliable pick in the 1X2 market.