Nantes arrive at Stade de la Beaujoire under a cloud. The home side sit 14th in the early Ligue 1 table with just three points from four matches and a worryingly thin attacking return of a single goal so far this season. Their recent run reads poorly: narrow victories are scarce and losses have piled up, the most recent being a 1-0 reverse at Nice. That resilience at home that can often steady a struggling team hasn’t yet translated into goals for Nantes, and their attack statistics underline the problem — fewer total attempts and markedly fewer shots on target than their visitors. With the stadium set to host supporters again, Nantes will hope familiar surroundings spark a response, but the data suggests they are under serious pressure to find cutting edge.
Rennes travel in far healthier shape. Sitting sixth, they have already accumulated seven points and boast a more productive forward output with five goals in four matches. Their latest result, a 3-1 triumph over Olympique Lyonnais, not only delivered three points but also highlighted Rennes’ ability to impose themselves in attack; Mohamed Kader Meïté earned the match’s best player rating after that display. Statistical markers favour Rennes decisively: they have produced 54 total shots compared to Nantes’ 32, enjoy a higher average of dangerous attacks and lead comfortably in shots on target. While Rennes have conceded six goals across their fixtures — indicating defensive lapses — their offensive volume should trouble a Nantes defence that is trying to settle.
Historically, the most recent head-to-head meeting ended 2-1 in Rennes’ favour, a result that reinforces the psychological edge the visitors carry into this fixture. Rennes’ capacity to create chances and press higher up the pitch contrasts with Nantes’ struggle to convert limited opportunities. The bookmakers mirror this assessment: Rennes are priced as the likely winners with away odds around 2.10, while Nantes are available at longer odds and a draw sits between. Expect Rennes to dominate territory and shots, forcing Nantes to defend deeper and look to hit on the break. Nantes’ one-goal scoring tally so far suggests their best route to an upset would be an exceptionally disciplined defensive display and a set-piece or solitary moment of quality — a tall order against a Rennes side that has been more consistent in creating chances.
Betting suggestion: Back Rennes to win (Away) at 2.10. The combination of superior attacking metrics, recent 3-1 momentum, and a recent head-to-head victory makes Rennes the value call in the 1X2 market for this Ligue 1 clash on 20/09/2025.
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