Prediction Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Premier League on 27/09/2025

Context and form lines

The early weeks of this Premier League campaign have produced an intriguing fixture at The City Ground, where Nottingham Forest welcome Sunderland on 27/09/2025. On paper the home side are the bookmakers’ choice, but the details beneath the odds make this more than a routine prediction. Forest sit 15th after five games with a solitary win, two draws and two defeats, and a worrying goals-against tally of nine that underlines defensive fragility. Their recent run reads as draws and losses, including a 2-2 draw away to Real Betis in the Europa League where Igor Jesus was singled out with a strong rating; that result showed Forest can find goals but remain vulnerable at the back.

Sunderland arrive in healthier league standing — seventh with eight points from five matches — and a positive overall goal difference. Their Premier League runs have been compact and competitive: a recent 1-1 draw with Aston Villa highlighted by Wilson Isidor’s influence, and a mixture of draws and wins that reflect resilience. Statistically Sunderland have two clean sheets in the period captured and, notably, their away goal return in this dataset reads as zero, which hints at a team more comfortable at home or in tighter matches away from their own ground.

Match dynamics and statistical clues

The numbers paint a picture of an open encounter with caveats. Nottingham’s attacking metrics show reasonable volume — a higher average of attacks and dangerous attacks — but zero clean sheets at home in the captured stats and nine goals conceded overall. Sunderland, by contrast, have conceded fewer and posted two shutouts, suggesting they can frustrate opponents and make Forest work for any breakthrough. Head-to-head history is sparse but recent friendlies ended in a 1-1 draw, so parity cannot be dismissed.

Bookmakers give the home win a probability of roughly 55% with a price near 1.81, a draw at 3.50 and an away win at 4.30. The market clearly favours Nottingham, likely on home advantage and the expectation they will press forward and create chances at The City Ground.

Betting suggestion Back Nottingham Forest to win (1X2) at around 1.81. The home side carry the favorites’ tag and will be motivated to arrest a mixed start in front of a sizeable home crowd; Sunderland’s away numbers in this dataset are underwhelming and Forest have shown they can score. This is a sensible single-market selection, but stake prudently given Forest’s defensive lapses and Sunderland’s capacity to snatch a point.