Prediction Once Caldas vs Boyacá Chicó 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga BetPlay on 26/09/2025

Match preview: home comforts and a chance to climb

Once Caldas return to Estadio Palogrande on 26/09/2025 with momentum to protect after a mixed but encouraging run of results. The Manizales side sit 13th in the Clausura table and will lean on a fairly solid home record and recent confidence from league victories, even though they arrived off a 2-1 defeat to América de Cali. That loss showed vulnerability on the road, but at Palogrande Once Caldas have been more assertive — their seasonal numbers show a greater goals return at home and a higher shots volume, and they generate a good share of dangerous attacks and corners. The home crowd of 36,553 could be an influential factor on a fixture where margins matter.

Boyacá Chicó arrive prodded by inconsistency and defensive fragility. Sitting down in 19th, their recent sequence includes heavy defeats and draws, punctuated by the odd positive performance like the 1-1 draw with Deportivo Pereira. Their away numbers indicate difficulties in containing opponents, conceding frequently and failing to convert enough opportunities. The side’s last meeting with Once Caldas in April ended goalless, but form and underlying stats point to a tougher assignment this time around for the visitors.

Form, patterns and statistical edge

Once Caldas’ recent ten-match pattern reads as a side that can win streaks and grind out results — a string of wins and draws interspersed with only a couple of defeats. The team’s attacking output at home is noticeably stronger than Boyacá Chicó’s away scoring, and their shots and dangerous attacks averages suggest they create more high-quality chances. Boyacá Chicó, on the other hand, have struggled to keep clean sheets and register fewer goals, with several heavy losses that underline defensive issues.

Head-to-head history offers a neutral note — a 0-0 draw earlier in the year — but current momentum is clearly with the hosts. The market mirrors that view: bookmakers price Once Caldas as favorites at 1.63, with the draw at 3.55 and an away win a long shot at 5.80. Those odds reflect a market that expects the home team to press for three points and the visitors to be compact but vulnerable.

Verdict and betting suggestion

Given Once Caldas’ clearer attacking edge at Palogrande, superior recent form and the bookmaker confidence, the strongest single-market selection here is a home win in the 1X2 market. Backing Once Caldas to take victory offers value against Boyacá Chicó’s shaky away record and should be considered the primary play for punters focusing on a straightforward outcome.

Betting suggestion: Once Caldas to win (1) — priced 1.63.