Prediction Palermo vs Venezia 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Serie B on 30/09/2025

Context and form: Palermo riding home comfort, Venezia seeking consistency

Palermo head into this Round 6 clash at the Stadio Renzo Barbera buoyed by an unbeaten start in the league phase — three wins and two draws have them sitting second in the Serie B table with 11 points. The Sicilian side have been solid at home: four of their five clean sheets across competitions have come in front of their supporters, and their defensive record is impressive with only two goals conceded in five matches. Palermo’s recent sequence includes a 1-1 draw away at Cesena on 27 September after narrow defeats and emphatic wins earlier in the month, but overall the team’s pattern is one of control and defensive resilience.

Venezia arrive with eight points and a patchwork of results that underline their unpredictability. The Venetians picked up a confident 2-0 victory over Spezia in their last outing and earlier edged a cup tie on penalties against Hellas Verona after a goalless draw, showcasing a side capable of stubborn resistance and sudden attacking thrusts. Venezia’s numbers tell of an attack that can deliver — seven goals in five matches — but also a defense that has been breached five times.

Tactical hints from the numbers

The underlying metrics paint a picture of contrasting tendencies. Palermo average more volume in attacking metrics — nearly 98 attacks per game and close to 55 dangerous attacks — and they complement that with three clean sheets already. Their home form is compact: only one of their matches has seen more than 2.5 goals. Venezia, by contrast, generate fewer dangerous actions but produce a higher share of matches finishing over 2.5 goals (60% in the sample), meaning when they score they often open games up.

Head-to-head memory from the recent play-off meeting in 2024 shows Venezia beating Palermo 2-1, a reminder that history can be misleading but also that this fixture can produce fine margins.

Match outlook and momentum

Momentum slightly favours Palermo. Bookmakers have priced them as favourites (Home 2.05, Draw 3.50, Away 3.35) reflecting both league position and the solidity shown at Renzo Barbera. Venezia are dangerous on their day — their ability to score and win away on the counter was evident against Spezia — but they have given up goals at a higher rate and their away BTTS percentage is lower than Palermo’s home BTTS figure suggests, signalling this could be a tight affair.

Betting suggestion: Based on form, defensive solidity at home and the bookmakers’ valuation, the recommended bet is a 1X2 selection: back Palermo to win. The price around 2.05 offers value for a side unbeaten in the league and difficult to break down at the Renzo Barbera.