Prediction PAOK vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Europa League on 24/09/2025

Match snapshot and mood in Thessaloníki

PAOK welcome Maccabi Tel Aviv to Stadio Toumbas in the opening round of Europa League group action, and the atmosphere promises to be electric with the home crowd backing a side on a generally positive run. The Greek hosts arrive after a goalless draw with Panaitolikos and a mixed prelude that includes a heavy 4-1 reverse at Levadiakos but also a string of wins at the end of August. Maccabi, by contrast, come in with a heater of form domestically – an emphatic sequence of victories across Ligat ha'Al and cup competitions, interrupted only by a narrow away loss to Dynamo Kyiv in late August. Recent match report figures place Mohamed Camara as Maccabi’s standout performer in their last outing, while Soualiho Meïté earned top billing for PAOK in their draw.

Why the numbers favour PAOK at home

The statistical profile gives PAOK a distinct home advantage. Their home numbers show five goals scored at home and, crucially, zero goals conceded in those home fixtures to date, backed by three clean sheets. PAOK’s attacking output at home has been supported by a high shots count and decent finishing opportunities, while their defensive solidity at Toumbas reads well on paper. Maccabi’s away profile is more mixed: while they have found the net consistently on their travels, their clean sheet column sits at zero and they have conceded away goals, suggesting vulnerability when on the road against quality opposition. The bookmaker market mirrors this contrast — a home win for PAOK is the clear favourite with available odds around 1.66 and an implied probability north of 60%.

Head-to-head and momentum

Historic meetings between these sides are sparse, with the only provided head-to-head going back many years, but momentum matters more than distant results. Maccabi arrive hot offensively, with multiple multi-goal performances in recent weeks, and that makes them dangerous if PAOK fail to match intensity. Still, PAOK’s recent home performances and clean-sheet record grant them a psychological and tactical edge on this specific night.

Market angle and final read

This is shaping up as a classic Europa League opener where the home crowd and the familiar pitch will be a decisive factor. PAOK’s form at home, their defensive record in front of their fans, and the bookmakers’ confidence all point towards a home victory as the most sensible outcome from the available markets. Maccabi’s scoring streak cannot be ignored, so the tie could still produce chances, but the balance of probability — given clean sheets, home scoring and the market — tilts clearly.

Betting suggestion: Back PAOK to win (1) in the 1X2 market. The home advantage, PAOK’s clean-sheet record at home and the odds of 1.66 offer value for a single-match pick.