Prediction Pogoń Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Ekstraklasa on 03/10/2025

Match context and form guide

Szczecin lights up for a midweek Ekstraklasa clash as Pogoń Szczecin host Piast Gliwice at the Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera on October 3. On paper this looks like a fixture that will test both sides’ resilience rather than showcase flowing football. Pogoń arrive with an uneven run of results: three wins, one draw and six defeats from ten outings have them languishing 14th in the table. Their recent results read like a rollercoaster with a couple of home highs — a 2-0 victory over Raków Częstochowa and a 2-1 win at Widzew Łódź — offset by narrow defeats on the road and a 1-0 reverse to Legia Warszawa last time out.

Piast, meanwhile, are struggling deeper in the standings at 18th but have shown flashes of life. In their most recent match they turned a halftime deficit into a 4-2 win over Nieciecza, a result that delivered both confidence and a reminder that they can score when the moment arrives. Across eight matches Piast have just one win, four draws and three losses, with only seven goals to their name — a figure that underlines their blunt edge away from home.

Statistical snapshot and tactical implications

Numbers offer a cautious view. Pogoń have scored 14 and conceded 19 in ten matches; at home they’ve netted nine and let in eight, which suggests tight margins at the Stadion Miejski. Piast’s attacking output is underwhelming: seven goals in eight games and only two scored away from home so far. Shot metrics show both teams generating chances — Pogoń averaging close to 70 attacks per game with 44.5 dangerous attacks, Piast logging an even higher attacks average — but the conversion and defensive solidity have been inconsistent for both sides.

Head-to-head spice adds another layer. Their last meeting in April saw Piast edge Pogoń 2-1, proving this fixture can swing either way and that margins are fine. Bookmakers have made Pogoń the favorite at around 2.12 for a home win, with the draw and Piast available at longer prices.

Prediction and betting suggestion

This one feels ripe for a home-back. Pogoń’s home numbers and the bookmakers’ pricing suggest value on a home victory: Piast have struggled to score on the road and their overall tally this season points to a side that can be contained if Pogoń bring focus and a stronger defensive showing than recent outings. The risk is clear — both teams have shown volatility — but the probability leans to the hosts taking the three points.

Betting suggestion: Back Pogoń Szczecin to win (1X2) at around 2.12. Keep stakes moderate given form inconsistencies and consider a smaller unit size; the pick is founded on home advantage, Piast’s limited away firepower, and the bookmaker’s implied value for a Pogoń victory.