Prediction Raków Częstochowa vs Lech Poznań 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Ekstraklasa on 24/09/2025

Match context and momentum

Częstochowa will be buzzing on 24 September as Raków welcome Lech Poznań to Stadion Raków, a midweek clash that already feels like a season-defining moment for the home side. Raków sit uncomfortably down the table, shown as 16th with seven points from seven matches, and their recent run reads like a rollercoaster: a 1-1 draw with Legia was a fragile stop in a sequence that includes more defeats than wins. Their attacking output is modest — seven goals in the campaign so far — and they have managed only a single clean sheet at home. The club’s supporters will hope the home turf and the familiarity of ul. Limanowskiego 83 can spark a turnaround.

Lech arrive in a far healthier mood. Sixth in the table with 13 points, they bring a confidence that’s underpinned by five wins in their latest string according to the form summary. Lech’s shot numbers jump off the page: 118 total shots with 46 on target across the season, illustrating an aggressive, probing mentality. Their recent 2-0 away win at Nieciecza and a previous 1-0 victory over Raków earlier in the season add narrative weight — this is a side that knows how to get results, even away from home.

Tactical thread and statistical undercurrent

Numbers tell a compelling tale. Raków’s matches have been mixed for goal volume — just under half of their fixtures have produced both teams scoring — while Lech’s fixtures trend toward goals, especially overall, with an over 2.5 frequency north of 70% for their matches. Defensively neither side is watertight: Raków have conceded 11, Lech 12, and both teams carry vulnerabilities that invite open, end-to-end action. Combined, these trends lean toward a match that will not be a cagey stalemate.

The betting market offers a twist: bookmakers list the home side as the slight favorite at around 2.02, with the draw and Lech priced more generously. That price on Lech — and the fact they’ve beaten Raków earlier this season — makes the away side an intriguing long-shot option on the 1X2 market. But when you factor in shot counts, recent goal patterns and the single-match statistics showing both teams have leaked goals, the goal market becomes especially tempting.

Betting suggestion Based on the attacking numbers and the defensive cracks on both sides, the best single-market play is the goal market: back Over 2.5 goals. This selection aligns with Lech’s high over-2.5 frequency and Raków’s tendency to be involved in open games, and it captures the likelihood of an entertaining, goal-filled contest at Stadion Raków.