Prediction Real Oviedo vs Levante 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for La Liga on 04/10/2025

Game preview: small stadium, big stakes in Oviedo

The Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere will be a compact cauldron on October 4 as Real Oviedo host Levante in what looks set to be one of the more unpredictable fixtures of round 8 in La Liga. With just 5,000 seats on offer, the home crowd could be a significant factor for Oviedo, a team that sits marginally ahead of Levante in the table but whose underlying numbers tell a story of defensive frailty and offensive scarcity. Bookmakers give Real Oviedo a narrow edge — odds of 2.48 translate to roughly a 40.3% chance of victory — but the route to three points is hardly straightforward.

Form, momentum and recent results

Oviedo arrive off a morale-boosting 2-1 win at Valencia, an upset that underlined their ability to grind out results even when goals are hard to come by. Across seven league matches they have managed only four goals while conceding 12, a ratio that exposes instability at the back. Their recent form is a mixed bag: victories against Valencia and Real Sociedad are offset by losses to Barcelona, Getafe and Elche, showing a side that can spring a surprise but struggles for consistency.

Levante’s season has been bouncier still. With just one win, two draws and four defeats, they have found the net 11 times but shipped 14 goals — a contrast to Oviedo’s low-scoring profile. Levante’s attacking intent is evident in their shot and chance metrics: more total shots (67) and a higher attacks average (74.29) than their hosts. Recent results include an emphatic 4-0 away victory at Girona and a 1-1 draw at Getafe, illustrating they can both punish opponents and leak goals depending on the day.

Head-to-head memory is fresh: the teams met in April in a La Liga 2 clash that finished 1-0 to Real Oviedo. That tight scoreline and the compact stadium point toward a potentially closely fought match, but underlying stats paint a different picture — this is a fixture likely to see chances at both ends.

Tactical outlook and key trends

Oviedo’s defensive record suggests vulnerability to teams who press and create sustained attacks — a profile that fits Levante’s season so far. Levante’s propensity for higher-scoring matches is notable: five of their fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals (71.4% over/under 2.5 rate), while Oviedo have registered fewer high-scoring affairs but remain porous defensively. Both sides have recorded a clean sheet apiece this season, yet neither can be labeled defensively reliable.

Betting suggestion

Given the combination of Levante’s attacking output and both teams’ tendency to concede, the most attractive market here is the goals market. Back Over 2.5 goals. The data points toward a higher-than-average chance this game produces multiple goals — Levante’s fixtures have trended high and Oviedo’s defensive struggles offer openings. This selection blends the bookmakers’ narrow favorite line with the statistical signal that this matchup is likely to be entertaining and open.