Rodez welcome Clermont to Stade Paul Lignon on 19 September in a fixture that feels like a fight for momentum as much as three points. The bookies give Rodez the edge at 2.10, a clear signal that home advantage and recent form are working in their favour, yet the prices for a draw and an away win are identical (3.40), underlining how evenly matched these sides can be on paper. Rodez sit seventh in the table after five games, unbeaten in three of their last four league outings, and they arrive off the back of a narrow 1-0 win at Le Mans. That victory might not have been flashy, but it was efficient — the kind of result a team targeting solidity at home will be happy to collect.
Clermont, 11th in the standings, have been harder to pin down. Their slate shows a cluster of draws peppered with a win and a recent 1-2 reverse to Saint-Étienne. They do not concede lightly overall — their goals conceded balance sits level with goals scored — and their matches have a higher incidence of goals than Rodez’s. Clermont’s attack has found the net five times in five games, and their previous encounters include competitive scorelines, including a 1-1 meeting in May. On paper Clermont possess the tools to hurt Rodez, especially if they can convert the chances they are creating; the away side’s average of nearly 83 attacks per match hints at a team that can probe and trouble defences over 90 minutes.
Expect a low-to-moderate tempo opening with Rodez looking to control the game through safer, narrower passages — their recent results suggest an emphasis on one-goal margins and defensive organisation at Paul Lignon. Clermont will probe, seeking to exploit space behind the full-backs and to turn patient positional play into chances. The head-to-head 1-1 from May suggests both teams are comfortable in tight contests, and the data on shots and dangerous attacks slightly favours Rodez in terms of quality in the final third. The last round produced notable individual displays too: Raphaël Lipinski earned top billing for Rodez in their last win, while Axel Camblan was Clermont’s best-rated performer in their most recent outing despite the defeat.
Betting suggestion: Back Rodez to win (1X2). The home side’s recent defensive tightness, greater volume of dangerous attacking play, and the market’s clear lean towards them at 2.10 make a home win the most sensible single-market pick from the available data.
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