Prediction Roma vs Hellas Verona 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Serie A on 28/09/2025

Match context and recent momentum

Roma arrive at the Stadio Olimpico buoyed by results and confidence. Their last outing ended in a 2-1 Europa League victory over Nice, where Evan Ndicka earned the match’s highest rating and helped shore up a defence that has shown considerable resilience this campaign. Across four Serie A rounds Roma have collected nine points from three wins and a solitary loss, keeping multiple clean sheets and conceding just once in league play. The run of form reads energetically — W-W-L-W-W-D-W-L-W-W — a sequence that underlines a team capable of grinding out results both domestically and in Europe.

Hellas Verona, by contrast, have been difficult to beat but also limited in decisive moments. Four league matches have produced three draws and a single loss, leaving them on three points and sitting precariously in 15th. Their recent Coppa Italia exit on penalties to Venezia came after a goalless draw, with Armel Bella-Kotchap standing out as Verona’s top performer that day. Statistically Verona struggle to impose themselves: their attacks average is considerably lower than Roma’s, and their dangerous attack numbers lag well behind, suggesting they are likely to be on the back foot for long periods at the Olimpico.

Tactical edges and what to expect

Roma’s statistical profile shows dominance in possession-efficiency metrics that translate into sustained pressure: higher totals in shots inside the box, more dangerous attacks and superior corners averages. Their defensive solidity is notable — a run of clean sheets and low goals conceded at home — and the recent European win will have sharpened competitive edge and match rhythm. Verona’s tendency for draws indicates resilience and organisation but also an inability to turn opportunities into goals; their away goals conceded tally is concerning and they have produced fewer clear-cut attacking sequences.

The head-to-head and recent meetings add weight to the home side’s advantage. The last league encounter between these sides finished 1-0 in favour of Roma, a result that mirrors the likely narrative: Roma controlling the game and finding a way to break through a compact Verona defence.

Match referee and venue note

Ermanno Feliciani will take charge at the Stadio Olimpico, where Roma’s familiarity with the pitch and crowd — even with a modest listed capacity — provides an extra layer of comfort and home-court authority.

Betting suggestion Based on the balance of form, attacking and defensive metrics, and the market pricing that reflects Roma as heavy favourites (1.43 for a home win, draw 4.20, away 7.50), the clearest value is in the 1X2 market. Back: Roma to win (Home) at 1.43. This selection aligns with Roma’s superior chance-creation, stronger defensive record and recent victories in tight matches. As always, stake responsibly and consider this selection as a solid-but-conservative option rather than a guaranteed outcome.