Rotherham United welcome table-toppers Bradford City to the AESSEAL New York Stadium on 02/10/2025 in what shapes up to be a classic clash of contrasting trajectories. The Millers have endured a frugal start to the campaign, sitting 21st after nine games with only two wins and a single draw, their confidence visibly dented by a run heavy on defeats. Home form has been patchy: five goals at home versus four conceded hints at blunt attacking output and a tendency to struggle for consistency in the final third. Bradford, by contrast, arrive brimming with momentum. Sitting first in the table with 23 points from ten matches, they have won seven times and struck 18 goals, producing a clinical edge that has underpinned their climb.
Numbers tell a compelling story. Bradford lead the attacking metrics with a higher shots average, more shots on target and a better dangerous attacks average, all markers of sustained territorial control and a willingness to create opportunities. Their over 2.5 games percentage sits at 70%, suggesting their fixtures often produce multiple goal moments. Rotherham have not been prolific — seven goals across nine matches — and their defensive ledger of 13 conceded reveals vulnerability that a high-flying Bradford side can exploit. Recent meetings add context: Bradford edged Rotherham 1-0 in their last cup meeting earlier in the year, a result that will feed the visitors' belief in replicating that outcome on league duty.
Expect Bradford to set the tempo. Their attack-focused indicators and superior dangerous attacks average point to a side that will probe Rotherham’s backline and look to impose itself early. Rotherham, with home advantage and a vocal support in a compact 12,021-capacity stadium, cannot be written off; their single home clean sheet and capacity to grind out results when defensive organisation clicks means they will fight to frustrate. Still, the weight of form and statistical superiority leans towards an away team that knows how to finish chances and manage games when leading.
Given the gulf in recent form, the attacking metrics, and the bookmakers’ alignment favouring Bradford, the clearest market to target is the 1X2: Bradford City to win. The away price of 2.05 offers value against a Rotherham side struggling for goals and consistency. The pick balances probability and return — Bradford’s momentum and underlying numbers make them the most convincing result on the day. Recommended bet: Bradford City to win (Away).
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