Prediction Santos Laguna vs Tijuana 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Liga MX on 25/09/2025

Match overview

A charged atmosphere is expected at Estadio Nuevo Corona on 25/09/2025 when Santos Laguna welcome Tijuana in Round 10 of the Apertura. The setting feels ripe for drama: Santos come into this fixture nursing a run of disappointing results and sitting 14th in the table, while Tijuana arrive in impressive league form, fifth and capable of delivering knockout performances away from home. The contrast between the two teams is stark on paper and in recent scorelines, and that shapes the narrative for this encounter.

Form and recent results

Santos Laguna’s recent run reads poorly — two wins, one draw and seven losses in the latest ten-match snapshot — and their last domestic outing ended in a heavy 1-4 reverse against Atlético San Luis. That defeat followed a string of losses and a tight 2-2 draw with Atlas, underlining a side that has struggled to find defensive stability, conceding 17 goals across nine league matches. Tijuana, in contrast, have been more consistent: four wins, four draws and a single loss from nine matches and an eye-catching 5-0 demolition of León in their most recent game. That victory not only pumped goals into their goals-for column but also demonstrated their capacity to be clinical in front of goal.

Tactical snapshot and stats that matter

Looking at the figures, Tijuana lead in shot volume and offensive threat with 104 total shots and 38 on target compared to Santos’ 88 shots and 33 on target. Tijuana’s goals-scored tally (19) dwarfs Santos’ 12, while Santos have conceded more (17), suggesting vulnerabilities that visiting attackers can exploit. Despite Santos’ home familiarity and a decent attendance ceiling at Estadio Nuevo Corona, their defensive record at home (7 goals scored, 9 conceded) offers little reassurance. The teams’ head-to-head history is also noteworthy: Tijuana won 4-0 in their most recent meeting this season, a result that underlines the visitors’ psychological edge.

Prediction and betting suggestion

This feels like a fixture where momentum and confidence will count. Tijuana arrive brimming with attacking form, recent clean sheets, and a player performance peak highlighted by Rafael Fernández’s high rating in the 5-0 win over León. Santos, meanwhile, have been unable to string results together and conceded heavily last time out. Given the balance of form, attacking statistics, and last meeting’s emphatic scoreline, the most compelling single-market recommendation is on the match winner market.

Betting suggestion: Back Tijuana to win (Away, 1X2). The away win is supported by Tijuana’s superior recent form, higher goal output, better shot figures and a favorable head-to-head. Stake responsibly.