Prediction Sassuolo vs Udinese 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Serie A on 28/09/2025

Match preview: two teams heading in different directions at MAPEI Stadium

Sassuolo welcome Udinese to Reggio Emilia on 28 September in a clash that pits a side searching for answers against a team riding a wave of confidence. The home side arrives with just three league points from four matches and a recent cup humbling — a 3-0 reverse at Como — that underlines their defensive fragility. Sassuolo have conceded seven league goals already and carry a worrying sequence in their last ten outings: only two wins, two draws and six defeats. Their attacking return is modest too, four goals in the league and only one scored at home in the sample reflected in the stats.

Udinese, by contrast, sit higher on the table with seven points and markedly better momentum. Their recent run shows more wins than losses, and the Coppa Italia victory over Palermo on 23 September provided a tangible morale boost, with Jakub Piotrowski earning the best-player rating from that game. Statistically Udinese look sharper in territory and volume: more total shots (47 versus Sassuolo’s 35), a higher average of attacks and dangerous attacks, and competitive corner and possession metrics. That production suggests Udinese can create chances and test a backline that has been breached repeatedly this term.

Form, stats and the head-to-head telling

The numbers paint a clear picture — Sassuolo’s defensive numbers at home are under pressure (conceded two at home in the reported stats) while Udinese have shown they can travel and compete, conceding relatively fewer away goals in the supplied data and registering efficient away attacking returns. Head-to-head history is balanced recently; their last Serie A meeting ended 1-1, suggesting this fixture can be tight. Bookmakers still give Sassuolo some home preference, with a home price of 2.25, but that doesn’t fully reflect the momentum swing towards Udinese.

Prediction: this will be a close, competitive Serie A encounter where the visitors’ superior recent form and attacking intent could be the decisive edge. Sassuolo’s confidence is dented after the cup loss and several league reversals, and Udinese arrive with better attacking metrics and belief.

Betting suggestion (1X2): Back Udinese to win (Away) at 3.15. The away side offers value given their recent form, superior shot and attack numbers, and Sassuolo’s vulnerability coming out of a heavy Cup defeat.