Prediction SC Freiburg vs Basel 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Europa League on 24/09/2025

Match context and momentum

Europa-Park Stadion will welcome a lively continental curtain-raiser when SC Freiburg host Basel in the opening round of the 2025/2026 Europa League group stage on 24 September. Freiburg arrive on the back of a statement 3-0 Bundesliga victory at Werder Bremen on 20 September, a result that underlined a side finding rhythm domestically. That win, coming with a standout performance from Noah Atubolu — the match’s best player with an 8.65 rating — gives the hosts a clear confidence boost heading into Europe. The stadium — a passionate venue in Freiburg im Breisgau with a capacity of 34,700 — promises a buoyant atmosphere that should favour the home side.

Basel’s route to the fixture has been mixed but resilient. They advanced through the Swiss Cup on 19 September via penalties after a 1-1 draw with Étoile Carouge and arrive having bagged solid league wins earlier this month, including a 3-1 away victory at Thun and a narrow 1-0 at Sion. Those results show a team capable of getting the job done, even away from home, but their recent form also features a setback against Copenhagen, highlighting a vulnerability against high-quality opponents.

Head-to-head and form narrative

The two clubs last met in a friendly in January 2016 that finished 1-1, offering little in the way of recent direct evidence. Formally, both sides come into this game with similar recent records — each with six wins, one draw and three losses across their last ten outings — which suggests balance on paper. Yet the key difference is context: Freiburg’s emphatic domestic performance and home advantage combine with the bookmakers’ view that places them as clear favourites, reflected in a home price of 1.71 with an implied probability of roughly 58.5%.

Given the stakes of a Europa League group opener, Freiburg will be determined to set the tone in front of their supporters. Basel will not be overawed; their cup win on penalties shows mental resilience and an ability to grind out results. Still, the momentum, venue and recent statement win tip the scales toward the German side.

Betting suggestion

Recommended market: 1X2 — Back SC Freiburg to win. The bookmakers’ odds (1.71, ~58.48% implied probability) mirror the match narrative: home momentum, a strong recent performance against Werder Bremen, and the advantage of Europa-Park Stadion make Freiburg the most convincing single selection for this fixture.