Saturday’s fixture at Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa shapes up as a classic La Liga 2 tussle where home comfort could prove decisive. SD Eibar arrive off a narrow 2-1 reverse against Huesca but keep healthy underlying home numbers: three goals scored at home so far and, notably, zero goals conceded in their home outings according to the available home-team stats. That defensive solidity at Ipurúa is the headline — if Eibar reproduce that level they will be difficult to break down. Their recent record over a ten-match sample shows a mixed run, but there’s enough bite in their attack (five goals in the league so far) to suggest they can trouble FC Andorra’s backline.
FC Andorra travel with momentum after back-to-back positive results in the league, most recently a 2-1 win over Burgos where Min-su Kim was the standout performer. The visitors sit fourth in the table early on, unbeaten in the league’s opening three rounds according to the group standings, and they’ve been productive away from home — four goals scored on the road and an overall attacking profile that includes 17 shots on target in their sample of matches. That attacking confidence means Andorra will not sit back; they’ve shown they can score in opponents’ stadiums and will look to exploit any soft moments from Eibar.
There’s an intriguing statistical tug-of-war here: Eibar’s home-record suggests clean-sheet capability at Ipurúa, while Andorra’s away scoring numbers and unbeaten start make them a dangerous opponent on the counter. The most recent head-to-head in La Liga 2 (April 2024) favored Eibar — a 2-0 victory away at Andorra — which gives the Basque side psychological leverage. Bookmakers echo that sentiment: the market gives the home win the shortest price, reflecting a greater probability for an Eibar victory.
Prediction conclusion and betting suggestion
Given the balance of home defensive strength, Eibar’s historical success in this matchup, and the market leaning toward the hosts, the best single-market selection here is a 1X2 play. Backing SD Eibar to win at 1.80 represents a blend of value and realism — home advantage at Ipurúa and that clean-sheet home record make the home victory the likeliest outcome on paper.
Betting suggestion: 1X2 — SD Eibar to win.
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