Prediction Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the First League on 03/10/2025

Form check and what to expect in Bistrica

Septemvri Sofia arrive at Stadion Vitosha under pressure. Sitting 16th in the First League with just seven points from ten matches, their season has been a rollercoaster in the wrong direction: two wins, one draw and seven defeats tell a blunt story. The recent string of results has been erratic and often disappointing — a solitary clean sheet, seven goals at home across the campaign and 22 conceded overall underline a team that struggles to keep opponents out. Their most recent draw away to Cherno More rescued a point but did little to change the broader trend; Septemvri’s defensive frailties and inconsistency remain the biggest concerns.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv travel in markedly better shape. Fifth in the table with 19 points from ten matches, they have been hard to beat this season — five wins, four draws and only one loss. The visitors boast a solid defensive record of nine goals conceded overall and four clean sheets, a figure that suggests structure and discipline at the back. Recent form includes a confidence-boosting 1-0 victory over Levski Sofia, while Juan Esteban Perea Sanchez was notable in that win as the best-rated performer. That kind of result adds momentum heading into this fixture and sets Lokomotiv up as the form side.

Tactical snapshot and head-to-head note

Tactically, expect Lokomotiv to be compact and efficient. Their shot totals and shots on target figures point to a team that creates chances and converts enough to win tight matches, while maintaining defensive solidity. Septemvri, by contrast, generate decent attacking activity but have been punished for defensive lapses; their home matches have been among the higher-scoring encounters in the league, yet the points have often not followed.

There is a wrinkle in the history between these two: the last meeting recorded in April ended 2-0 in favor of Septemvri Sofia in a relegation round encounter. That result shows up as a warning — Lokomotiv must guard against complacency and Septemvri will draw confidence from the memory of that win. Still, recent form, league position and overall defensive records paint a clear picture.

Betting suggestion Based on the data, the clearest value lies in the 1X2 market. Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win is the preferred selection: they are the more consistent side, carry better form and have shown the defensive resilience that should see them edge this contest away from home.