Context and form heading into The ARMCO Arena clash
Solihull Moors welcome Sutton United to The ARMCO Arena on 21 December with a fixture that promises tempo and tension. The hosts sit 12th in the Enterprise National League after 22 matches, a mid-table side built on resilience: seven wins, seven draws and eight losses, and a run of results that reads like a yo-yo — D-D-L-W-W-W-L-W-L-D. That inconsistency has delivered 28 points and 28 goals scored against 33 conceded. Sutton arrive lower in the table at 18th but have punched above their weight in recent rounds, going through spells of winning form before a heavy FA Trophy reverse where they were beaten 4-1 by Walton & Hersham.
On paper the market makes Solihull the marginal favourites — the latest match odds show the hosts at 2.10, a draw 3.40 and Sutton 3.10 — reflecting home advantage and Solihull’s slightly steadier points haul. The venue at Damson Parkway holds just over 3,000 supporters, where home familiarity can be a factor in tight affairs.
What the numbers say — goals, attacks and tendencies
The statistical line paints a picture of openness. Solihull average around 11.36 shots per game with 90 on target overall and have been involved in matches that reach the net with moderate frequency — their over 2.5 percentage sits under half at 45.45 per cent, but they’ve scored 28 times in 22 matches and shipped 33. Sutton, for their part, are a higher-octane unit in attack: 33 goals in 21 matches, with two-thirds of their fixtures going over 2.5 (66.67 per cent). Sutton’s defensive fragility is clear — 39 goals conceded — which, when combined with Solihull’s attacking intent at home (19 of their goals on home soil), suggests a match that could produce multiple finishes rather than a chess-like 0-0.
Head-to-head form is limited and conservative — the only meeting this season ended 0-0 in August — but recent scorelines for both sides have tended toward goals, particularly in Sutton’s run of high-scoring encounters.
Match narrative and betting angle
Expect Solihull to control phases through possession and structured attacks while Sutton will look to punish on the break and from set-piece transitions. Given Sutton’s susceptibility at the back and their ability to find the net, the balance tilts away from a tight goalless draw. This is a fixture where the market is nudging the home win, but statistical trends suggest that goals are likelier than a low-scoring stalemate.
To deepen your approach to goal markets and timing, check out guidance on The right time to place bets on goal markets. If you’re considering alternative lines around match balance, this primer on What does it mean the handicap market in sports betting? can also help you frame value.
Betting suggestion Back Over 2.5 goals. Rationale: Sutton’s games have a high likelihood of producing multiple goals (66.67% O2.5) and Solihull’s home scoring combined with both teams’ defensive numbers make a three-goal threshold a sensible value play. If you prefer the 1X2 market the bookies’ lean to Solihull at 2.10 is reasonable, but for value and the statistical indicators on goals, Over 2.5 is the recommended single market tip.
