Prediction South Sudan vs Congo DR 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025

Preview: Congo DR arrive as clear favourites while South Sudan seek stability

The Group Stage encounter on 05/09/2025 frames a classic contrast. South Sudan come into the fixture with a fragile run of results: a sequence of one win, two draws and seven defeats across recent outings paints a side still searching for consistency and defensive solidity. Their recent results include a spirited 3-2 victory over Congo in November 2024 but more recently a 1-1 draw with Sudan and a 1-0 loss away to Congo DR in March this year. Defensive lapses are evident in South Sudan’s numbers; they have conceded seven away goals in their samples and registered just a single clean sheet, leaving questions about their ability to contain a vibrant opponent.

On the other touchline, Congo DR look sharper and more reliable. Their form shows six wins from ten recent outings and only one loss, a pattern underlined by a sequence of convincing victories through August, including 2-0 wins away in Angola and Zambia before a tougher test against Morocco ended in a 3-1 defeat. Statistically Congo DR press higher and create more with an average of 86.83 attacks and 64.17 dangerous attacks per match, outpacing South Sudan’s attacking averages. Their attacking potency is reflected in a higher shots average and a superior shots-on-target tally. Crucially, Congo DR have kept four clean sheets in the sample and conceded fewer goals overall, suggesting a side that can both create and defend effectively.

Tactical edge and historical context

Looking back at recent head-to-heads, Congo DR secured a 1-0 win over South Sudan in March 2025 — a meeting that highlighted Congo DR’s ability to manage tight contests and come away with results. Across the available team statistics, Congo DR lead in corners, shots, and defensive stability; South Sudan’s attacking promise exists but is undermined by their tendency to concede and their lack of consistent defensive showings. Bookmakers have already reflected these contrasts: the market places Congo DR as heavy favourites with implied probability north of 70%, while South Sudan sit firmly as long odds.

Given the form lines, the comparative metrics in attacks and dangerous attacks, and the recent head-to-head, the narrative tilts decisively toward an away victory. Expect Congo DR to control phases of the game, limit South Sudan’s scoring opportunities and lean on their better defensive record to close out the match.

Betting suggestion: Back Congo DR to win (1X2 — Away) based on their superior recent form, higher attacking and defensive metrics, and strong bookmaker support.