Match snapshot: Charleroi hosts Genk at Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Sporting Charleroi welcome Genk to the Stade du Pays de Charleroi on 19 December 2025, a fixture that carries more than the usual midseason weight for both sides. Charleroi sit 12th in the Pro League after 18 matches with 20 points, a side that has struggled for consistency — five wins, five draws and eight defeats — and a modest goals record of 19 scored and 23 conceded. Genk, meanwhile, are sixth with 24 points from the same number of games, and while their goal figures (22 scored, 24 conceded) are not spectacular, their recent run hints at momentum that could prove decisive in Charleroi’s backyard.
Form, recent meetings and tactical undertones
Both teams arrive off draws from last weekend: Charleroi salvaged a 1-1 against Union Saint-Gilloise, with Étienne Camara earning the best-player rating for his contribution, while Genk recovered to draw 1-1 with Westerlo, Matte Smets starring in that encounter. Those results underline the tightness of the mid-table tussle: Charleroi’s form string shows a mix of results with four wins and four losses in their last ten outings, while Genk have picked up five wins in their last ten matches and appear to be the steadier outfit.
Statistically Genk exert more pressure — averaging 16.89 total shots per match versus Charleroi’s 10.72, and creating more corners (6.33 to 4.61) and dangerous attacks (58 to 48.28). Charleroi are a tougher proposition at home defensively than away, with 10 goals scored and only eight conceded on home soil, but their away defensive numbers (15 conceded) spotlight vulnerability that Genk could punish if they bring their shot volume.
Head-to-head this season already favours Genk, who won the earlier meeting 1-0 in September. The balance of recent form, shot pressure and league position all nudge the expectation toward a Genk edge.
Market view and value
Bookmakers offer 2.50 for a Genk away win, 2.80 for Charleroi and 3.20 for the draw — prices that place obvious value on Genk’s combination of form and firepower. Given both teams have roughly a 50% BTTS rate and Genk’s higher percentage of over-2.5 fixtures, this tie could produce goals, but it’s the away victory market that offers the clearest value.
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Betting suggestion: Back Genk to win (Away) at 2.50. The visitors combine better recent form, higher shot and chance creation metrics and the psychological edge of having won the earlier meeting. This selection represents a sensible value play in the 1X2 market given the available prices.
