Preview: tight table tussle at The Lamex Stadium
A chilly midweek fixture at The Lamex Stadium promises a classic League One tussle as Stevenage host Peterborough United on 27 January 2026. On paper the bookies give the narrow edge to the home side — Stevenage are priced at 2.34 while Peterborough sit at 3.05 — but the numbers behind the odds paint a more nuanced picture. Stevenage arrive after a draw with Mansfield and a run of many stalemates and low-scoring affairs, while Peterborough travel in blistering form, unbeaten in most of their recent fixtures and carrying a series of eye-catching wins.
Recent form and trends
Stevenage’s season has been built on solidity rather than flash: 26 matches, 39 points, and nine draws underline a team that grinds out results but struggles to turn chances into wins. Their last five results include several tight outcomes — a 1-1 with Mansfield, a 0-0 with Bolton and a heavy 3-0 loss at Exeter earlier in the month. The club’s form string shows one win, five draws and four defeats in the last ten, suggesting they’re hard to break down but vulnerable to teams that press for victory.
Contrast that with Peterborough United, who have ripped off a run of positive results: seven wins, one draw and two losses in their last ten. Their recent away performances and attacking output — 35 goals so far in the campaign — have been decisive. The visitors ended their last outing with a convincing 2-0 win at Wycombe, and Kyrell Lisbie’s performance earned him match recognition, reinforcing Peterborough’s match-winning credentials on the road.
Head-to-head and match context
The clubs met earlier in the season with Peterborough edging a 1-0 victory, showing they can get the job done at this level. Stevenage’s home record features many draws and nine clean sheets across the season, indicating disciplined defending, but also a lack of cutting edge. Peterborough’s tendency to produce games with more goals recently — combined with their higher shots and scoring numbers — suggests they have the firepower to unsettle Stevenage’s defensive shape.
For readers wanting a deeper look at market selection, the piece draws on broader strategy themes covered in resources like Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets, and remember to keep your head when staking by reading How to have emotional control when placing bets?.
Betting suggestion
Value lies with an away play in the 1X2 market. Despite Stevenage’s slightly shorter price and home advantage, the edge goes to Peterborough United based on momentum, attacking output and recent wins away from home. Recommendation: Back Peterborough United to win (Away) at 3.05. It’s a proactive, value-driven pick — the visitors’ form and prior 1-0 head-to-head success suggest they can nick another three points. As always, consider stake sizing carefully and factor in Stevenage’s defensive stubbornness; a cautious stake or a small unit on a win-only selection is advised.
