Prediction Talleres Córdoba vs San Martín San Juan 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on 19/08/2025

Match preview: home hope meets away underdog in Córdoba

Talleres Córdoba returns to Estadio Juan Domingo Perón on 19/08/2025 with the kind of urgency that comes from a mixed start to the 2nd Phase. The hosts sit 13th in the mini-table after four matches, collecting four points from a win, a draw and two defeats. Their recent results paint a portrait of a side capable of hitting form but also vulnerable on the road: a 1-0 loss at Lanús in their most recent outing underlined defensive inconsistencies, while a hard-fought win at Independiente earlier in July showed they can grind out results. Talleres’ attack has managed eight goals at home across the season so far, but they have also conceded 12 on their own turf, suggesting entertaining, error-prone affairs for supporters at a stadium with 57,000 capacity.

San Martín San Juan travel north with similarly fragile numbers and little margin for error. They are 12th in the group with the same points tally as Talleres, but their formline reads as a longer slide — two wins, a draw and seven losses in their last ten. Their latest 0-1 reversal to Sarmiento continued a run where defensive solidity has been hard to come by; San Martín have conceded 14 goals at home and nine away, and their away goals scored are low at two so far. A recent 3-2 victory over Deportivo Riestra shows they can find the net, yet their defensive record and 13 losses this season highlight a susceptibility Talleres will look to exploit.

Key statistics and what they mean for the betting market

Numbers tilt the balance in favour of the home side. The market reflects that confidence: Talleres are offered at 1.70 with an implied win probability of 58.82%, while San Martín sit out as clear outsiders at 5.75 (17.39%). Both teams have a moderate likelihood of seeing both teams score — Talleres’ BTTS percentage sits at 55.56% at home and San Martín show around 50% in their matches — so a contest with chances at both ends is plausible. Shot volumes favour Talleres as well (291 total shots to San Martín’s 216), and Talleres produce more shots on target, suggesting they create the cleaner chances. Clean sheets are scarce for both, but Talleres have managed seven clean sheets overall compared to San Martín’s four, hinting at marginally better defensive resilience.

Considering form, venue and market confidence, this fixture projects as a home side likely to press for a result, while visitors will aim to frustrate and counter. Recent head-to-head in February saw San Martín eke out a 1-0 win, reminding us that upsets can happen, but current season dynamics favour the hosts.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 market — Talleres Córdoba to win. The odds and underlying statistics favour a home victory, making Talleres the recommended pick.