Prediction Tijuana vs Cruz Azul 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Liga MX on 29/09/2025

Match preview

Tijuana return to Estadio Caliente on September 29 with the kind of mixed form that has defined their Apertura to date. Sitting seventh with 16 points from ten matches, Tijuana have alternated moments of attacking promise with defensive hiccups. Their season shows 19 goals scored and 11 conceded overall, and at home they have been reasonably productive — 13 goals scored and just four conceded — yet their last outing ended in a 1-0 defeat at Santos Laguna. That result punctuated a recent sequence of results that reads like a rollercoaster: wins, draws and losses peppered through a ten-match run that includes three wins, four draws and three defeats.

What Cruz Azul bring to the table

Cruz Azul arrive at Caliente unbeaten in the league, perched at the summit with 24 points from 10 games. Their record — seven wins and three draws — underlines a side that has found consistency and the firepower to turn matches in their favour. Across the campaign they have tallied 21 goals and conceded 12, and their away scoring has been steady with eight goals on the road so far. Recent form speaks loudly: back-to-back wins and a credible draw in their latest fixture against Querétaro where José Paradela produced the match’s standout rating. The away unit generates high volumes of shots and sustained pressure, reflected in impressive averages for total shots and attacking entries.

Form, numbers and how the game might unfold

Numbers point to an intriguing clash. Cruz Azul dominate on attack metrics — substantially more total shots and a higher rate of dangerous attacks — while Tijuana have shown they can score at home and keep a decent defensive shape in front of their crowd. The head-to-head in February produced a five-goal thriller, with Cruz Azul edging a 3-2 success away from home, a recent reminder that meetings between these two can be open and decisive. Over the season Cruz Azul’s matches have tended more frequently toward higher goal counts, and Tijuana’s home profile has not shied away from goals either.

Verdict and betting suggestion

Expect an open match where Cruz Azul’s offensive consistency meets Tijuana’s willingness to attack at home. The bookmakers favour an away win, but the statistical signals tilt toward a contest with multiple goals: Cruz Azul’s high over-2.5 rate across the season, Tijuana’s home scoring, and a recent high-scoring head-to-head all point in the same direction. Backing a goal market offers value given the attacking data and recent encounters.

Betting suggestion: Over 2.5 goals — backed by Cruz Azul’s strong over-2.5 percentage, Tijuana’s home goal output, and a recent 3-2 meeting that signals this matchup can produce three or more goals.