Prediction Togo vs Sudan 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025

Preview and context

This Group Stage clash of the CAF World Cup Qualifiers pits Togo against Sudan at Stade de Kégué in Lomé on 09/09/2025, and it arrives with plenty at stake. Togo, occupying fifth in the group with four points from seven matches, arrive on the back of a bruising run that has produced only one win across their last ten outings and a recent 2-0 reversal to Mauritania. Home soil will be lively with a 25,000-capacity Stade de Kégué ready to roar, but the results sheet tells a different story: Togo have struggled to turn territory into results, scoring just four times in the campaign while conceding nine.

Sudan, by contrast, sit comfortably higher in third place on 12 points. Their campaign has been built on defensive resilience and efficiency in front of goal — eight scored and only four conceded in seven group fixtures. Recent form reads as a sequence of tight affairs, many settled by penalties in cup contexts and draws in the qualifiers, underlining their tendency to grind out results rather than engage in high-octane shootouts. Their last outing ended in a 2-0 defeat to Senegal, but the broader picture is one of steady performances and a squad capable of keeping matches tight away from home.

Tactical expectations and match rhythm

Expect a measured, cagey affair. Togo will want to press and make the home crowd count, but their attacking numbers — only three goals at home in the group — suggest they struggle to consistently carve out clear-cut chances. Sudan’s defensive profile is the inverse: they have managed five goals away and boast four clean sheets in the competition, pointing to a team disciplined in structure and difficult to break down on the road.

Both sides show low frequencies of high-scoring games in this campaign. Over 2.5 goals has been rare for either team’s matches so far, which hints this fixture could unfold more as a tactical chess match than a goal-fest. The last competitive meeting between the pair ended 1-1, and that stalemate remains a useful template for what might transpire: tight midfield battles, limited openings, and a premium on set-piece or momentary lapses to decide the outcome.

Betting suggestion (final pick)

Goal market – Under 2.5 goals. Backing under 2.5 aligns with the tournament data: both teams have produced very few over-2.5 matches, Sudan have multiple clean sheets and show away defensive solidity, while Togo have struggled to convert home pressure into goals. This match is likely to be tight and low-scoring; the under 2.5 goals selection offers the clearest value based on the available form and statistics.