Prediction Torino vs Modena 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Coppa Italia on 18/08/2025

Match overview

This Preliminary Round Coppa Italia tie at the Allianz Stadium on August 18 pits Torino against Modena in a fixture that feels lopsided on paper but carries fresh questions once you dig into recent form. Torino arrive as favourites with bookmakers pricing a home win at 1.60 (an implied probability of roughly 62.5%), while a Modena victory is a long shot at 6.50. The stadium in Torino — capacity 28,177 — and the local setting should hand the Granata the typical home boost, but recent results expose vulnerabilities both teams will want to hide as the cup campaign begins.

Form, recent meetings and momentum

Looking at the latest sequences, Torino’s run is worrying: their last ten-match report shows nine matches without consistent results, with a run heavy on defeats and only one win among ten matches. The detailed recent results underline that pattern — losses to Monaco, Roma, Inter and others, only a 1-1 draw against Venezia breaking the streak. Modena’s ledger is not much prettier: three wins, one draw and six defeats in their most recent ten, but the Emilian side has flashed resilience with a couple of wins late in their sequence and several tightly contested scorelines in May.

Head-to-head evidence is thin but in 2023 a friendly saw Torino edge Modena 2-1, suggesting the home side can impose themselves when the teams meet. Cup ties can take odd shapes, and both clubs will be intent on starting the domestic cup on the right foot. Torino’s summer friendly defeat to Monaco (3-1) shows they’re still working on coherence, while Modena’s last recorded competitive outing ended in a 0-1 loss to Cesena; both sides carry recent setbacks into this encounter.

Referee, setting and tactical hints

Referee Paride Tremolada will be in charge, and with a neutral whistle, the game may be decided more by who imposes tempo and confidence early rather than disciplinary anomalies. Playing at the Allianz Stadium in Torino is an advantage the home side will lean on; for Modena, this is a chance to flip the script, but travelling teams in cup preliminaries often struggle to produce consistent attacking returns.

Prediction and betting tips

Given the balance of probabilities, home advantage and the thin head-to-head history favouring Torino, the most sensible market here is the 1X2. The odds indicate clear backing for the hosts and, despite their shaky preseason form, Torino still look likeliest to progress. Modena’s patchy results and the long odds against them make an upset possible but improbable.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Torino to win (odds 1.60). This selection pairs home advantage, historical edge and market backing into the clearest value play from the available data. Play responsibly and consider a conservative stake given both sides’ inconsistency.