Prediction Torino vs Pisa 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Coppa Italia on 25/09/2025

Torino look to steady the ship against resilient Pisa

Torino return to Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino for this Coppa Italia second round tie with the weight of inconsistent form on their shoulders. The calendar shows a wobbly sequence for the home side: a recent 0-3 reverse to Atalanta was followed by mixed results in the weeks prior, including a narrow win at Roma and a goalless draw with Fiorentina. Those results underline a team capable of flashes but also susceptible to heavy setbacks. At home, Torino possess clear attacking metrics that favour them: their attacks per match sit higher, and they average far more dangerous attacks than Pisa. The venue in Torino, with a capacity of 27,958, gives them a tangible home advantage in a knockout setting where momentum and crowd energy can swing tight encounters.

Pisa arrive battle-hardened but struggling for consistency

Pisa have shown they can compete with higher-tier opposition; they pushed Napoli in a 3-2 loss and edged past Cesena on penalties earlier in the cup. Their recent Serie A losses to Udinese and Roma highlight where vulnerabilities lie, however, and their overall form points to inconsistency — a mixture of narrow defeats and occasional resilience. Statistically Pisa deliver fewer total shots and significantly fewer dangerous attacks than Torino, which suggests they will be the leaner, more conservative side in this fixture. Their ability to nick moments on the counter or exploit set-piece chances is plausible, yet the numbers imply they will be chasing territory and opportunities rather than dictating play.

How the odds shape the narrative

Bookmakers have installed Torino as favorites at 1.73 (roughly a 57.8% implied probability), with the draw at 3.40 and Pisa an outsider at 5.00. Those prices mirror the underlying attack and danger metrics: Torino register more shots on target and create more promising situations in the final third, whereas Pisa’s output is more modest. The cup format can always serve up shocks, but the data tilts the needle toward a settled home win rather than an upset.

Betting suggestion

Given the relative attacking output, home advantage and the market pricing, the clearest play for this encounter is a straight 1X2 wager on Torino to win. Backing the home side at 1.73 offers a sensible balance between risk and likelihood in a knockout tie where they start as favorites and are expected to control the bulk of attacking play.