Prediction Udinese vs Palermo 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Coppa Italia on 23/09/2025

Match overview

The Coppa Italia returns to the Dacia Arena on 23 September and serves up an intriguing second-round tie as Udinese welcome Palermo. This is a fixture that pits Udinese’s recent top-flight encounters against a Palermo side riding a wave of confidence from Serie B. With the match penciled in for a midweek evening in Udine, the stadium should provide a lively backdrop for a clash where pride and cup progression are both on the line.

Recent form and momentum

Udinese arrive having suffered a heavy 0-3 setback to Milan on 20 September, but their broader string of results includes impressive wins over Pisa and Inter earlier in the campaign and a comfortable victory over Carrarese in August. Their form line displays a mix of highs and lows, and while the Milan loss is a fresh blot, it came against top opposition. Palermo, meanwhile, have been consistent in their own right. Back-to-back wins against Bari and Südtirol demonstrate a side capable of finishing chances and keeping momentum. Notably, Palermo’s previous match saw Tommaso Augello shine with the best player rating, underlining their defensive solidity and attacking contribution from the full-back areas in recent weeks.

Tactical edge and key stats

If the tie is decided on possession of chances, the numbers tilt in Udinese’s favour. The home side’s shot volume and quality stand out: 21 total shots with 10 on target and an average of 117 attacks and 63 dangerous attacks. Those figures suggest Udinese are creating far more threatening moments in and around the box. Palermo are compact and efficient but generate far fewer opportunities — seven total shots and just two on target in the provided metrics, with 94 average attacks and 46 dangerous attacks. Both teams boast clean sheets in recent results, but Udinese’s higher corner average and superior attacking activity indicate they will likely be the team dictating proceedings in front of their home crowd.

Historically the last recorded head-to-head in the dataset is a decisive Udinese win, which adds a small psychological edge despite the time gap. On form, Palermo should not be underestimated — they arrive confident after a 2-0 victory and have shown grit in tight matches, including a penalty shootout success — but the balance of chance creation points to the hosts.

Final thoughts and prediction

The narrative here is straightforward: Udinese create more chances and possess the attacking metrics to break Palermo down, while Palermo relies on structure and counter moments. The Milan result is a cautionary tale, but given the numbers and home advantage at the Dacia Arena, Udinese look best placed to progress.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Back Udinese to win.