Prediction Uganda vs Mozambique 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025

Match preview

The Group Stage clash in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers between Uganda and Mozambique arrives with plenty of intrigue. Officially the fixture lists Uganda as the home side, yet the game will be played at the Stade de la Réunification in Douala on 05/09/2025 — a neutral-seeming stage for what should be a lively encounter. Both teams arrive with identical recent records on paper: four wins, two draws and four defeats from the last ten matches, but the underlying numbers tell a more nuanced story. Uganda have recorded three clean sheets recently and show a capacity to build dangerous attacks, while Mozambique have mixed defensive vulnerability with a willingness to get forward and create chances.

Form, recent meetings and momentum

Uganda’s recent results include convincing wins against Guinea (3-0) and Niger (2-0), a high-scoring draw with South Africa (3-3) and narrow defeats to Algeria and Senegal. Their form string reads as a varied sequence of highs and lows, suggesting unpredictability but also flashes of attacking potency. Mozambique’s recent run features a 5-1 reverse to Algeria, a pair of matches against South Africa that produced a 1-0 win and a 2-0 loss, and a goalless draw with Mauritius. The head-to-head snapshot from March 20, 2025 is a clear talking point: Mozambique beat Uganda 3-1 in the same competition, a result that will linger in both squads’ minds.

Tactical edge and key statistics

Statistics give the impression of two teams comfortable with creating chances but not always locked down at the back. Uganda’s attacking profile shows an average of just over eight shots per match and a strong dangerous-attacks figure, hinting they push forward with intent and can punish space. Mozambique post slightly higher shot numbers and have a higher proportion of matches finishing over 2.5 goals, with an over-2.5 percentage of roughly two-thirds compared to Uganda’s 50%. Clean-sheet numbers favour Uganda, while Mozambique have conceded more away from home in the recent sample. Corners and attacking frequency are similar, but Uganda’s greater number of clean sheets suggests they can combine defensive resilience with moments of attacking efficiency.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Expect an open encounter. The March meeting produced four goals and recent scorelines from both sides include several multi-goal affairs. Mozambique have shown they can both score and concede in chunks, and Uganda’s attacking bursts — combined with Mozambique’s away concessions — point toward a match with multiple goal-scoring moments. The safer market to target based on the available data is the goal market rather than a straight 1X2 call; the statistics and recent head-to-head lean toward an entertaining game with goals.

Betting suggestion: back Over 2.5 goals.