Prediction UTC Cajamarca vs Los Chankas 2025 season – Betting Tips for the Primera Division on 29/09/2025

Match preview: home struggles meet an unpredictable visitor

UTC Cajamarca will welcome Los Chankas to the modest confines of Estadio Héroes de San Ramón in Cajamarca on 29 September with very different urgencies on display. UTC arrive in a run of form that reads painfully: no wins in ten Clausura outings, a sequence crowded with losses and draws. The recent 0-0 stalemate against Deportivo Garcilaso did little to change the narrative — a side that has drawn more than it has won, and one that is leaking goals in every direction across the campaign. Their group stats underline that fragility: only a handful of goals to show and a goal difference that belongs to a team fighting to find stability.

Los Chankas present a contrasting picture. Mid-table in the group and capable of bursts of scoring, they have been both prolific and porous in equal measure. Their recent fixture list contains emphatic wins and a bruising 6-1 reverse at Melgar that highlights a tendency for matches to swing wildly. That volatility makes them dangerous; they score and concede in chunks, and on their day can dismantle opponents quickly. The last meeting between these two teams in May ended 2-1 in favor of Los Chankas, a reminder that UTC have already struggled to keep the visitors quiet in head-to-head action.

Form and stats that matter

Looking deeper into the numbers, Los Chankas show a competition-high inclination toward open, high-scoring games, reflected in an over 2.5 goals percentage that leaps out compared to UTC. UTC’s home form is thin on wins and heavy on draws and defeats, and their defensive record at times looks porous enough to tempt attackers. Both sides have seen matches with goals; Los Chankas’ recent fixtures have been particularly goal-heavy, whereas UTC’s results have alternated between shutouts and conceding multiple times, suggesting inconsistency rather than resolute defending.

The psychological angle matters too. UTC will be desperate to break the winless run at home and steady local confidence, while Los Chankas will aim to rebound from their heavy defeat and exploit the visitors’ frailties. The encounter at a 5,000-capacity ground promises its own intensity; small venues often magnify momentum and errors, a factor that could encourage quick goals or late drama.

Betting suggestion: Given the statistical lean toward open contests from Los Chankas, their recent heavy-scoring affairs, and UTC’s inability to keep a consistent clean sheet or string wins together, the strongest market to consider here is the goals market. Backing Over 2.5 goals looks the most logical play: both teams have shown they can both score and concede, and recent meetings and season trends point toward another match with multiple goals.