Match preview: Stuttgart’s firepower meets Union’s stubborn away record
VfB Stuttgart host FC Union Berlin at the MHPArena in what looks set to be an entertaining Bundesliga clash on 18/01/2026. Stuttgart arrive with momentum: recent results show a team that has been finding the net regularly, including notable wins away at Bayer Leverkusen (4-1) and a hard-fought 3-2 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt in their most recent outing. Those wins underline a side that is confident in attack and comfortable pressing the action, reflected in Stuttgart’s season figures — 32 goals scored from 17 matches and an aggressive shots profile that has produced a high volume of chances.
Union Berlin, meanwhile, arrive with mixed form but spirit. Their last two fixtures ended in draws, and they have shown resilience on the road earlier in the season with narrow wins and high-commitment performances. Union’s 23 goals across 17 matches suggests they can produce moments of danger, but their away goal tally of 8 and a defensive return that shows vulnerability (13 conceded away) put them on the back foot when facing a prolific home side.
Key storylines and statistical edges
Stuttgart’s recent run includes several high-scoring affairs — 3-2, 3-2 and 4-0 among them — indicating a blunt attacking instrument capable of breaking down opponents. Their home goals conceded number (10) is reasonable for the Bundesliga, and six clean sheets at home demonstrate they can balance attack with defensive discipline. The bookmakers clearly see the home edge: the latest market prices give Stuttgart 1.63 for the win, translating to a roughly 61% implied probability, while the draw and Union are priced much longer.
Union’s form shows a cluster of draws and tight results. Their away performances have been less potent in front of goal, and their recent 1-1 draw with FC Augsburg where goalkeeper Frederik Rönnow was the best-rated player highlights how their results sometimes hinge on defensive solidity and individual moments rather than sustained attacking dominance. Stuttgart’s previous match also named Chris Führich as the standout performer, underlining where Stuttgart’s creativity and cutting edge originates.
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Betting suggestion: Back VfB Stuttgart to win (1X2) — the home side’s form, recent scoring run and the market pricing suggest the best value is a Stuttgart victory at the MHPArena on 18/01/2026.
