Match preview — tight affair expected in Shkodër
Vllaznia Shkodër welcome Flamurtari to Stadiumi Loro Boriçi on December 24 in what looks set to be a compact, cold-weather tussle with a clear home advantage. Vllaznia sit fourth in the Superliga table after 17 matches with a healthy defensive record at home — 14 goals scored in total this season but only four conceded on home soil. That defensive solidity is the standout figure here and will be the foundation of their approach on Wednesday afternoon.
Flamurtari arrive down in ninth, carrying an erratic run that has produced flashes — a 2-2 draw with Teuta on December 19 and a bright performance where Lorenc Trashi earned top billing with an 8.4 match rating — but overall the numbers are stark: just three wins and 24 goals conceded across the campaign. Their away record suggests they can be subdued by disciplined opponents; only six goals scored away this season underline their struggle to unlock organised defences.
Form and statistical angle — low scoring likelihood
Recent form lines for both sides point to a sequence of draws and tight results more than free-scoring affairs. Vllaznia’s last five fixtures include a string of stalemates and narrow outcomes, while Flamurtari have alternated draws and narrow defeats with the occasional bright spot. Shot metrics favour the hosts modestly — Vllaznia lead in total shots and dangerous attacks averages — but perhaps most telling is the low percentage of matches finishing Over 2.5 goals for both teams. Vllaznia’s home matches have delivered few high-scoring encounters and Flamurtari likewise register a low over-2.5 count away from home. Clean sheets at home (six for Vllaznia) further reinforce the idea of a tightly contested match with limited goal volume.
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Prediction and betting suggestion
Given Vllaznia’s robust home defensive record, Flamurtari’s limited scoring away from home and the low Over 2.5 percentages for both teams, expect a low-scoring contest. Betting suggestion: Under 2.5 goals. This market best reflects the statistical profile on display — a tight, tactical matchup likely decided by a single moment rather than an open, goal-laden spectacle.
