Ferrari insist the SF-26 launch remains on schedule despite delay rumours; a suspected Mercedes/Red Bull fuel-compression advantage could be worth ~0.4s per lap. Betting implication: favour Mercedes/Red Bull and their engine customers in early 2026 markets — avoid outright early-season bets on Ferrari and look for value in podium or late-season win markets as upgrades arrive.
Ferrari denies delay as SF-26 launch set for 23 January
Ferrari have moved to quash reports that the SF-26 launch will be delayed. The team has confirmed a planned launch on 23 January, followed by a Fiorano shakedown ahead of the first pre-season test in Barcelona. The clarification came after a story suggested an explosive reaction from team principal Fred Vasseur when told of a potential postponement.
Regulation loophole casts shadow over pre-season competitiveness
This winter a technical controversy has dominated paddock conversation: reports claim some teams have found a way to exploit the 2026 fuel-compression rules to gain extra horsepower on track while appearing compliant during post-session checks. Early estimates put the benefit at up to four-tenths of a second per lap — a significant margin in modern F1.
Why Ferrari could be left behind
Sources suggest the method is not straightforward to replicate. Engineers describe the approach as technically complex, meaning rivals like Ferrari, Honda and Audi might need months to develop an effective solution. If Mercedes and Red Bull have usable implementations early in the season, the competitive gap could open quickly, potentially leaving Ferrari playing catch-up.
FIA, teams and the prospect of mid-season fixes
The FIA has yet to issue a definitive ruling, and a key meeting is scheduled in Barcelona. Teams outside the leading pair are pushing for a prompt clarification or mid-season amendments — ideally after the summer break — to prevent a runaway advantage. There is even talk that Ferrari could lodge a formal protest over early-season results to force quicker action.
What this means for bettors and markets
With a suspected technical edge for Mercedes and Red Bull, early 2026 markets should be approached cautiously: - Consider favouring Mercedes/Red Bull and their engine customers for early-race and championship markets. - Avoid outright early-season bets on Ferrari until shakedown and early test data are released. - Look for value in podium, qualifying and late-season win markets as Ferrari and others develop countermeasures. - Monitor FIA statements and Barcelona test times closely — small timing gains will shift market value quickly.
Conclusion
Ferrari are keen to present stability heading into the new regulations, but technical developments elsewhere could shape the opening rounds. Punters should track test telemetry and any FIA rulings before committing to large early-season wagers, as the balance of power may shift rapidly once loopholes are clarified or closed.
‘Tough’ Lewis Hamilton decision sparks Vasseur update from Sainz
Ferrari have already had to address concerning rumours about their 2026 Formula 1 car. They’re due to launch the SF-26 on 23 January. One report...
Hitc
